The American Prospect's Harold Meyerson has an op-ed in the Washington Post today outlining the nature of the coming recession, and how our economic response is going to have to change if we're to fix it. "Wait," you're thinking, "is he saying we're in recession? Surely not! I know it's a worry, but no one's actually said it's official yet."
Let's take a look at the facts, then:
Citigroup, America's largest bank, has been hit with a staggering $10 billion in losses this quarter. Naturally, the company is doing what all companies do as a first response to crisis–cutting thousands of jobs –and is begging foreign investors to pump cash into its reserves to keep it solvent.
Countrywide, America's largest lender, reported spikes in delinquencies and foreclosures so severe that the company was looking at bankruptcy protection. It was hailed as a relief when Bank of America announced plans to buy the lender, but think about this–how bad is our economic state when our biggest giants in their respective industries are doing so poorly?
And what about the consumer, that bulwark of economic growth through spending? Well, thanks to a combination of collapsing home equity, high gas, energy, and food prices, and nearly insurmountable personal debt, consumers are falling behind on loan payments, credit card debt is on the rise, and retail sales are plummeting from lack of consumer spending.
If this isn't a recession, it's damn close, and like the wolf hungrily stalking its prey, will be upon us soon.
Back to Meyerson's column. He accurately notes that the mazelike structures of current Wall Street investment strategies make it nigh-impossible to accurately oversee these transactions, which has led to so many billions of dollars' worth of losses. Moreover, he also notes that without some serious infusion of jobs, cash, and direction from the government, this recession may deepen into a depression that will take years to recover from.
"Okay," you may be asking, "but where can we get the money for such a thing? That's going to be expensive!"
Well, here's one simple idea–ending the war in Iraq immediately and bringing our troops home. Imagine what we could do with the influx of capital we're wasting on a failed venture that has cost thousands of lives and tens of millions of dollars. I live in DC, so I used my own city as the basis for calculation....